Wednesday Morning Big News NZD/USD Outlook Mired Ahead of RBNZ as RSI Sits in Oversold Territory: NZD/USD continued to chip away at the correction from the 2019 low (0.6204) as the US NFP report showed the world’s largest economy adding 225K jobs in January versus forecasts for a 165K print. A deeper look at the report revealed Average Hourly Earnings climbing to 3.1% from a revised 3.0% in December, and the pickup in job/wage growth may keep the Federal Reserve on the sidelines as the central bank insists that the “current stance of monetary policy is appropriate to support sustained economic growth, a strong labor market, and inflation returning to our symmetric 2 percent objective.” At the same time, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) is widely expected to keep the official cash rate (OCR) at the record-low of 1.00% on February 12, but the central bank may endorse a dovish forward guidance at its first meeting for 2020 amid the weakening outlook for the Asia/Pa...
Gold violates bullish structure; prints a head and shoulders pattern Short-term risk is negative; confirmation signal awaited below 2,285 Gold has stabilized near May’s floor of 2,285 after losing more than 3.0% on Friday to mark its biggest daily loss in two years. The price’s current lackluster performance indicates a probable bearish continuation , given its drop below the 20- and 50-day SMAs and beneath the significant trendline zone at 2,325. The technical indicators align with this narrative, as the RSI has dipped below its 50 neutral mark and the MACD has slipped below its zero line. In the event that the 2,285 base crumbles, validating a bearish head and shoulders formation , selling momentum could escalate towards the 2,220 level. Falling lower, the price might retest the former constraining zone of 2,185 before plunging towards the ascending trendline, which connects the 2023 and 2024 lows at 2,145. If the bulls resurface, they might encounter a new challenge in the caution...
Crude oil is trading mildly lower at $37.12 per barrel, down by 0.44% owing to the concerns of second wave of coronavirus. This is after world’s top most consumers of oil America, India registered record fresh cases in past few days and are showing no signs of lowering down. The concerns of new infections are weighing on crude demand, and are dragging the crude prices lower. In addition, oil appears to be sobering up to gloomy forecasts of economy ahead of the Powell speech lined in this week. While, inventors are anticipating that he could possibly highlight downbeat views on US economy after Fed’s recent grim statement. However, losses remain under check tracking the positive cues from equity market. This is after investors’ cheered the Fed’s plan to re-start its bond-buying program on Tuesday in the secondary market. The program is a part of its emergency measures to restore economy from the demand destruction wrought by pandemic. Talking about previous session, after declini...
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